Ozone Hole May Be Shrinking - but problems still abound

[Timber Loftis]

I'm not saying there has been no progress toward some environmental problems - there has. But the hole-in-the-ozone thingy is not exactly solved, and here is an article reminding us to beware, both to the chicken littles but also to the naysayers who somehow think you can pave the earth, suck it dry of fossil fuels, and spew pollution for 6 generations, yet suffer no consequences.

From today's NY Times.

In an Upside-Down World, Sunshine Is Shunned
By LARRY ROHTER

UNTA ARENAS, Chile — Everything is different here at the bottom of the world, starting with the weather. Before Alejandra Mundaca lets her two children go out, she checks the forecast for the temperature, chances of rain and also the level of ultraviolet rays.

For the last decade the hole in the ozone layer over Antarctica has been forming earlier in the Southern Hemisphere spring and growing larger. The 125,000 residents of the southernmost city on the planet, here on the Strait of Magellan, have reluctantly learned to adapt.

They closely watch the color-coded warnings of a "solar stoplight" publicized on television and radio and even posted on street corners here. Even on warm days, most people insist on wearing jackets or long-sleeved shirts or blouses. Many wear sunglasses and make sure to apply 50-proof sunblock even when the sky is blanketed in clouds.

"Life has changed a lot for us over the past few years, and I know that my sons are not going to be able to enjoy the same kind of childhood that I had growing up here," said Ms. Mundaca, 33, a schoolteacher. "We used to look forward to spring as relief from the long harsh winter, but now it is a time of maximum peril for all of us who live here."

The ozone layer is a thin covering of gas in the stratosphere that absorbs most of the sun's ultraviolet rays. Since scientists first discovered the hole over Antarctica in the mid-1980's, it has nearly doubled in size and now covers an area larger than North America during the Southern Hemisphere spring. The arms of the hole occasionally extend as far as southern Chile and Argentina, depending on wind patterns.

On a typical day here this month, the solar stoplight was set at orange, the second highest of four levels, and people were warned to limit their exposure to the sun between noon and 3 p.m. to 21 minutes at most.

"When the light is red, I don't let my kids go out to play at all," Liliana Navarro Torres said, referring to Kimberley, 6, and Jonathan, 4. "They don't like it much, and sometimes it drives me crazy to have them running around the house, but that's the way it has to be when you live here."

The growth of the ozone hole is attributed largely to chlorofluorocarbons, or CFC's, that were widely used in aerosol sprays and refrigerants until an agreement in 1987 to phase them out. But scientists also think that global warming may be contributing to the phenomenon.

During much of the 1990's there was resistance here to accepting signs that the risks to people were growing. The warnings of scientists like Bedrich Magas of Magallanes University, one of the first to emphasize the potential dangers, were dismissed by local boosters who feared a drop in tourism.

But that changed in September 2000, when the ozone hole opened directly over Punta Arenas. The Socialist government responded with a far-reaching prevention and education program that has become visible everywhere.

"It's a new way of living," said Lidia Amarales Osorno, the Chilean Health Ministry's regional director here. "You'll see the solar stoplight posted in supermarkets, offices and schools, and we even have an Ozone Brigade to raise consciousness about this problem."

In elementary schools, a giant penguin named Paul leads a permanent campaign to teach children the steps they need to take to protect themselves. Many schools also hoist a flag each morning to alert their pupils' families of the expected level of ultraviolet rays, and in some poor neighborhoods, skin creams are even distributed free to youngsters.

"But the truth is that there is only so much that we can do here ourselves," Dr. Amarales said.

This year, to everyone's bafflement, the situation has been relatively mild. The ozone hole split in two for only the second time since monitoring began, with only the smaller part passing over Punta Arenas, winds have been calmer than usual, and the hole has begun to retract earlier than usual.

But scientists here warn that the problem may persist until the middle of the century and is likely to worsen through the decade.

The laboratory here has also reported the appearance of smaller ozone holes in central Chile, and health officials say that the incidence of melanoma, the most common form of skin cancer, in Santiago, the country's capital, increased by 105 percent between 1992 and 1998.

Because solar radiation reaches the ground at a more acute angle here than places farther north, Punta Arenas may actually be at less risk than other parts of Chile.

But this time of year, atmospheric scientists from all over the world flock here anyway, drawn by the opportunity to study a rare and little-understood phenomenon. Their presence, rather than reassuring residents, only adds to their sense of unease.

"We feel like we are rabbits in a laboratory experiment," said Ivan Mansilla Vera, 36, an engineer and father of two young children. "Nobody knows what is going to happen to us."

[dark soul]

i dont know y President Bush not doin anythin about this.....he just keeps sayin there is no proof of the greenhouse effect......well heres some proof.....not long ago a glacier size of the state washington fell off a iceburg.....thats pretty dam big!.......and last year when scientist went to the north pole....it was like mush....im thinkin that humankind will die from heat on earth caused by global warmin instead of the sun blowin up in our faces.....or maybe aliens killin off our race....but thats my opinion.....

[Ladyzekke]

I don't know how to reply to this thread except for to post two poems that I wrote about the subject, years ago, but the sentiment and my thoughts are still the same to this day.

PLANET UNDER SIEGE

You've taken my Arms
You've taken my Legs
You''ve paved over my beautiful Skin

You've pulled out my Hair
And polluted my Air
This Game you will surely Win

Why do you Destroy Me
Instead of Employ Me?
When I Am Who You Live Upon?

If You only Live for Yourselves
And Ignore and Forget what I Am
A lot that you take for Granted will be Gone

HUMAN CLAUSTRAPHOBIA

This World is too Crowded
Speak Up if you Disagree
What's that? I hear Silence
Then I guess you Know what I Mean

Taking a walk, always footsteps at my Back
Driving to work, hundreds of brake lights is all I See
Wanting to be Alone,, but a Thousand eyes are upon Me
All I want is to have just a little Privacy

if a Tree Falls in the Woods, Everyone Hears It
The Earth's Smartest Species doesn't know when to Quit
Overpopulating the Planet and filling every Pocket
Selfishly taking all Earth's essentials Bit by Bit

Perhaps things would be Different if Reincarnation were Fact
And we all knew that someday we would all be Back
Maybe then our Planet Gift we have been given would be Protected
By the same Human Bacteria that ironically it is Infected

[Scholarcs]

In fact the ozone hole didn`t shrink, it just didn`t grow at all.

If it begins to shrink it will still be 50-100 years before we can cut back on the daily sunblock usage during the spring/summer/autumn.