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Old 03-17-2003, 10:08 AM   #1
Ronn_Bman
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The US Ambassador to the UN made the statement just now that the UK resolution is being withdrawn because of the French promise to VETO it.

I think they should have gone for the vote. I wanted to see the "whip count".

[ 03-17-2003, 10:12 AM: Message edited by: Ronn_Bman ]
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Old 03-17-2003, 10:19 AM   #2
Felix The Assassin
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Question Mark

Was the word ultimatum used???
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Old 03-17-2003, 10:21 AM   #3
Ronn_Bman
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This is the resolution that had 6 steps for cooperation, the first of which was for Saddam to publicly acknowledge his possession of WoMD.
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Old 03-17-2003, 02:14 PM   #4
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Actually I would have liked to see the UN vote too regardless of the veto issue.

I just wanted to see how all the undecided countries on the council would've voted.
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Old 03-17-2003, 05:14 PM   #5
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I think the decision to withdraw would have been based on a headcount rather than a veto. If they thought they had a firm positive headcount going in then it would have shown up as general support by the council that was being stymied by veto. If the headcount was bad going in then it would not have reflected well, so why put it to the vote.

My point being that I think they got a good headcount, and it wasn't good news.
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Old 03-17-2003, 06:01 PM   #6
Ronn_Bman
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You're right Davros, and they are happy to blame the bad vote count on France's promise to VETO no matter what as the reason some nations could not be swayed, but the truth is, it would have been close even without the outspoken promise from the French.

The real reasoning for not calling for the "whip count" is the fact that 1441 makes the threat of serious consequences without full, complete and immediate compliance by Iraq. This of course never happened, so serious consequences are called for even if the world disagrees on what those consequences are. All the previous resolutions make similar demands and/or threats, and even the '91 ceasefire agreement authorizes renewed action if Iraq doesn't comply with it's terms. Of course Iraq has not complied.

All these things are in the Coalition of the Willing's favor now, but a no vote in the SC on a new resolution would have really removed the legitimacy of that argument.

[ 03-17-2003, 06:12 PM: Message edited by: Ronn_Bman ]
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Old 03-18-2003, 05:30 AM   #7
Davros
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Ronn - your President and my Prime Minister claim that 1441 gives them the right, but that is something that has undergone massive analysis in this country today and the conclusion from the weight of international law opinion seems to agree that it doesn't.

Either way - that is a debate for the lawyers and may they have good luck with it.

It doesn't change the fact that in seeking a futher resolution, the US, the UK and Spain sought current day ratification (rather than rely on the shaky 1441 argument) to strengthen their justification for going to war. In not presenting that resolution they knew that it would be defeated.

I am saddened to be going to war without the ratification of the UN even though I believe the cause is just. The military out there in the gulf will have my support both now and when they return. When Saddam is out the world will have changed for the better. Today however, with the coalition ignoring the UN, both the rules and the world changed, and it changed for the worse. I don't expect some of the anti-UN or pro-war factions to agree with that and that's OK because they are entitled to their opinions too. This one is mine.
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Old 03-18-2003, 06:00 AM   #8
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Is there any parallel between Bush saying we will go to war with Iraq, with or without the support of the UN and Chirac saying we will veto any resolution before the Security Council that approves a strike on Iraq.

Seems both sides "showed their cards(Bushspeak)" a little too soon.

One wanted war a little too much and the other did not.

Mark

[edit] typos

[ 03-18-2003, 06:00 AM: Message edited by: skywalker ]
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Old 03-18-2003, 06:12 AM   #9
Moiraine
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IMO, the key sentence about the legality of an unilateral US intervention in Iraq is the article 14 in the resolution 1441 : "The Security Council ... decides to remain seized of the matter". It pretty well says that no member of the Security Council can take actions on its own while saying it complies with the resolution.
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Old 03-18-2003, 09:12 AM   #10
Ronn_Bman
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Quote:
Originally posted by skywalker:
One wanted war a little too much and the other did not.
I think "wanted war" is a bit unjust. Bush feels it is necessary. Wants and Needs are completely different things.
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