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One thing I like to do when assessing an enemy is to put myself into their shoes (as much as possible) and try to guess where they might go... I don't like where that takes me.
Saddam is a bad guy... but he's not stupid, given this I don't like the possibilities that creates.
He knows that in this war he's going to lose.
He knows his army will be destroyed.
He knows that it's very unlikely he'll be able to inflict significant Allied casualties.
So he'll die looking like an impotent little fish who's been drowned in a big pond. Given that he's an egomaniac, he's not going to want to go out with such a whimper. So what do you do when you can't hurt the oppositions militar? You go after their civillians.
This tends to lead me along two tracks...
1) Go after Israel - If Saddam still has SCUDS (I think he does), and Saddam has Chem/Bio (I think he does), I think there's good odds he'll lob them at Israel. The only problem with this is that Isreali's are pretty well prepared for such an attack, which would mitigate the potential damage.
2) Go after US/UK homelands - Get some Chem/Bio in a ship, drive it into New York Harbor, and use a wind dispersal, you could quickly cause as many US casualties as we're likely to inflict on the Iraqis. I'm sure it's not so simple but that doesn't mean it's not possible. If you want to hurt the enemy and you can't hurt their military... you hurt their civillians.
He's had plenty of time to put together plans for such attacks, I tend to think that we'll see SOMETHING along these lines before he's done.
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