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Old 10-31-2004, 12:19 AM   #12
Chewbacca
Zartan
 

Join Date: July 18, 2001
Location: America, On The Beautiful Earth
Age: 51
Posts: 5,373
I am glad for a discussion the accuracy of survey itself. The seemingly small sample size, the huge causuality numbers and the TIMING of the report's release made me somewhat skeptical, especially consdering the highest estimate I heard previously, from the Iraq Body Count site, (which cross-references media reports to achieve it's estimate) was in the 15,000 range. In addition, even the authors of the report admit the difficulty of conducting such a survey considering the challenging circumstances on the ground.

Thanks Lucern, for putting the sample size in perspective from a statistics standpoint and I agree that even if the margin of error is greater than the 5%, this report warrants further investigation.

Considering how we were sold a safer, more precise type of warfare- full of "smart" weapons and low collateral damage. If it turns out these official pre-war stated estimates were more wrong than some of the far-left's estimates of hundreds of thousands civilian deaths than certainly the dcotrine of pre-emptive war deserves even more skepticism from the people, our elected representatives, and the media.
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