Ironworks Gaming Forum - View Single Post

Sir Kenyth · 12-12-2001, 06:03 PM

Ummmmmmm..... I feel silly. I didn't read the entire thread before spouting my opinion. I didn't realize the Game Host HAD to open an empty prize door. This throws a monkey wrench into the works as HIS choice isn't random either. Exactly how much this affects the natural 50/50 probability of the remaining two doors is a matter for statisticians to debate. Since he KNOWS which door the prize is behind, the door he DIDN'T pick has a higher probability of being the one with a prize in comparison to your COMPLETELY RANDOM guess. Think of it as him having an inside tip that you don't have.

12-12-2001, 06:03 PM	#152
Sir Kenyth Fzoul Chembryl Join Date: August 30, 2001 Location: somewhere Age: 55 Posts: 1,785	Ummmmmmm..... I feel silly. I didn't read the entire thread before spouting my opinion. I didn't realize the Game Host HAD to open an empty prize door. This throws a monkey wrench into the works as HIS choice isn't random either. Exactly how much this affects the natural 50/50 probability of the remaining two doors is a matter for statisticians to debate. Since he KNOWS which door the prize is behind, the door he DIDN'T pick has a higher probability of being the one with a prize in comparison to your COMPLETELY RANDOM guess. Think of it as him having an inside tip that you don't have. __________________ Master Barbsman and wielder of the razor wit!<br /><br />There are dark angels among us. They present themselves in shining raiment but there is, in their hearts, the blackness of the abyss.