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Applause for Legolas I feel. Nice one mate!
OK, heres a probability one for you. You are playing a game show and the host asks you to pick your prize. There are three doors you can pick and one of them has a prize behind it. The other two have chickens (which, I admit, would be a prize to some people but not to most).
He asks you to guess so you pick one. He then opens one of the other doors to reveal a chicken.
He asks you if you are still sure.
On the basis of pure probability should you stick or change?
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[img]\"http://img1.ranchoweb.com/images/sproutman/certwist.gif\" alt=\" - \" /><br /><br /><i>\"And the angels all pallid and wan,<br />Uprising, unveiling, affirm,<br />That the play is the tragedy, man,<br />And its hero the Conquerer Worm.\"</i><br /> - Edgar Allan Poe
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