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The spell level does matter there at any rate. The higher spell level the higher chance of failure. The following parameters may matter as well:
1. INT
2. Sorcery skill
I don't know. I am always training Sorcery ASAP so that I am always having Sorcery 10 or so in the Boogre Prison. Also, my character is always having INT 21+ there. Results:
1. Level 1 - 4 spells almost never fail.
2. Level 5 spells seldom fail.
3. Level 6 spells fail more often.
4. With level 7 spells, I have about 40% chance of success.
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My name is Demon\'s Last Day. Yes, the last one.
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