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RotK will probably win best picture because they've been waiting 3 years for the end of the trilogy to give it best picture. They've pretty much been looking at is as one movie split into 3 parts across 3 years. Chances are it will win best picture, but I do not think that they will give Jackson the best director. They are going to try to spread out the awards a bit (they do that every year; even if they give best picture and best director to the same movie, they'll give best actor and actress to stars of other movies). Bill Murray has a great chance of winning best actor; Charlize Theron has a great chance of winning best actress (they love when actresses go out on a limb like she did in that movie). RotK will probably win best picture and maybe 4 others in lesser categories (visual effects, etc.). I don't even think it will win adapted screenplay.
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[img]\"ubb/noncgi/smiles/new/ghoul.gif\" alt=\" - \" /><br /><br />\"The middle class pays all of the taxes, does all of the work.<br />The lower class exists just to scare the middle class.\"<br />-George Carlin
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